2026-06-29
2026-06-29 주간 초반 리스크 리포트
이번 글은 MarketPulse처럼 당일 급락·회복 TOP10을 반복하지 않고, 주간 첫 거래일 마감 후 전주 종가 대비 위험 변화만 봅니다. 집계 대상은 FinScope USD 기준 813개 중 기준일이 2026-06-29로 맞는 811개입니다. 기준일이 다른 2개는 같은 기준 비교에서 제외했습니다.
주간 첫 거래일은 방향을 단정하는 날이 아니라, 어느 쪽 위험이 먼저 드러났는지 보는 날입니다. 비교 기준은 직전 관측 거래일 2026-06-26이고, 이번 주 관측 거래일은 2026-06-29 ~ 2026-06-29입니다.
전주 종가 대비 낙폭이 커진 종목
| 티커 | 종목명 | 전주 종가 대비 | 전고점 대비 하락률 | 역대 최대낙폭 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HON | Honeywell International Inc. - Common Stock | -50.9% | -50.9% | -67.6% |
| SMCI | Super Micro Computer, Inc. - Common Stock | -8.1% | -76.3% | -84.8% |
| CPRT | Copart, Inc. - Common Stock | -8.0% | -56.0% | -72.5% |
| AMC | AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock | -6.0% | -99.7% | -99.8% |
| ULTA | Ulta Beauty, Inc. - Common Stock | -6.0% | -35.0% | -87.9% |
고점권을 지킨 종목
| 티커 | 종목명 | 전주 종가 대비 | 전고점 대비 하락률 | 역대 최대낙폭 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALAB | Astera Labs, Inc. - Common Stock | +16.4% | 0.0% | -63.7% |
| GLW | Corning Incorporated Common Stock | +15.7% | 0.0% | -99.0% |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation - Common Stock | +12.0% | 0.0% | -83.7% |
| AMAT | Applied Materials, Inc. - Common Stock | +10.8% | 0.0% | -85.2% |
| PANW | Palo Alto Networks, Inc. - Common Stock | +9.1% | 0.0% | -48.0% |
회복 탄력이 강했던 종목
| 티커 | 종목명 | 전주 종가 대비 | 전고점 대비 하락률 | 역대 최대낙폭 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCEL | FuelCell Energy, Inc. - Common Stock | +24.2% | -100.0% | -100.0% |
| ASTS | AST SpaceMobile, Inc. - Class A Common Stock | +21.4% | -34.8% | -91.1% |
| ALAB | Astera Labs, Inc. - Common Stock | +16.4% | 0.0% | -63.7% |
| RKLB | Rocket Lab Corporation - Common Stock | +15.9% | -34.8% | -83.0% |
| GLW | Corning Incorporated Common Stock | +15.7% | 0.0% | -99.0% |
종목 뉴스 맥락
아래 헤드라인은 이 리포트의 표에 등장한 종목을 Yahoo Finance RSS에서 다시 확인한 것입니다. 가격 움직임의 직접 원인으로 단정하지 않습니다.
- HON — 낙폭 확대, 전주 종가 대비 -50.9%, 전고점 대비 하락률 -50.9%. 최근 헤드라인: Honeywell Aerospace CEO on Separation, Defense Demand (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-30); Update: Dow Posts New High to Kick Off Holiday-Shortened Trading Week (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-30). 뉴스는 데이터와 함께 볼 맥락이며, 다음 거래일에 같은 흐름이 이어지는지 따로 확인해야 합니다.
- SMCI — 낙폭 확대, 전주 종가 대비 -8.1%, 전고점 대비 하락률 -76.3%. 최근 헤드라인: Supermicro (SMCI) Faces Taiwan Raids In Nvidia Chip Smuggling Probe (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-30); Super Micro Plunges 8% as Taiwan Raids Its Offices in NVIDIA AI Chip Smuggling Probe (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-30). 뉴스는 데이터와 함께 볼 맥락이며, 다음 거래일에 같은 흐름이 이어지는지 따로 확인해야 합니다.
- CPRT — 낙폭 확대, 전주 종가 대비 -8.0%, 전고점 대비 하락률 -56.0%. 최근 헤드라인: Stock Market Today, June 29: Nasdaq Composite Outperforms as Tech Stocks Gain on Easing Geopolitical Tensions (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-30); US Equity Markets End Higher Amid Pause in US-Iran Hostilities (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-30). 뉴스는 데이터와 함께 볼 맥락이며, 다음 거래일에 같은 흐름이 이어지는지 따로 확인해야 합니다.
- AMC — 낙폭 확대, 전주 종가 대비 -6.0%, 전고점 대비 하락률 -99.7%. 최근 헤드라인: AMC Global Media (AMCX) Soars 6.7%: Is Further Upside Left in the Stock? (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-29); AMC makes bold call that sends its stock crashing (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-28). 뉴스는 데이터와 함께 볼 맥락이며, 다음 거래일에 같은 흐름이 이어지는지 따로 확인해야 합니다.
- ULTA — 낙폭 확대, 전주 종가 대비 -6.0%, 전고점 대비 하락률 -35.0%. 최근 헤드라인: Saks Global exits Chapter 11 as Exemplar Luxury Group (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-29); Saks Global Renames Itself Exemplar Luxury Group After Exit From Bankruptcy (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-27). 뉴스는 데이터와 함께 볼 맥락이며, 다음 거래일에 같은 흐름이 이어지는지 따로 확인해야 합니다.
- ALAB — 고점권 유지, 전주 종가 대비 +16.4%, 전고점 대비 하락률 0.0%. 최근 헤드라인: What Astera Labs (ALAB)’s NASDAQ-100 Debut and Russell Exit Means For Shareholders (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-30); Update: Communication Services Helps Boost US Equity Indexes; Crude Oil Advances Amid Mixed Messaging on Iran Meeting (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-30). 뉴스는 데이터와 함께 볼 맥락이며, 다음 거래일에 같은 흐름이 이어지는지 따로 확인해야 합니다.
다음 확인 포인트
초점은 HON, SMCI, CPRT처럼 전주 종가 대비 하락이 큰 종목과, ALAB, GLW, KLAC처럼 고점권을 버틴 종목을 나눠 보는 데 있습니다. 다음 거래일에는 하락 종목이 현재 낙폭 랭킹에도 남는지, 고점권 종목이 차익실현을 견디는지를 확인하는 편이 좋습니다.
Week-Open Risk Report — 2026-06-29
This report does not repeat the daily MarketPulse recovery/drop TOP10 lists. It focuses only on risk changes after the first trading session of the week. The same-date universe is 811 instruments out of 813; 2 stale-date instruments are excluded from like-for-like comparisons.
The first trading session is not enough to define the week. It is useful as an early risk map. The comparison baseline is the prior observed trading day, 2026-06-26; observed dates this week are 2026-06-29 ~ 2026-06-29.
Weakest names vs prior close
| Ticker | Name | vs prior close | From peak | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HON | Honeywell International Inc. - Common Stock | -50.9% | -50.9% | -67.6% |
| SMCI | Super Micro Computer, Inc. - Common Stock | -8.1% | -76.3% | -84.8% |
| CPRT | Copart, Inc. - Common Stock | -8.0% | -56.0% | -72.5% |
| AMC | AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock | -6.0% | -99.7% | -99.8% |
| ULTA | Ulta Beauty, Inc. - Common Stock | -6.0% | -35.0% | -87.9% |
Names holding the peak zone
| Ticker | Name | vs prior close | From peak | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALAB | Astera Labs, Inc. - Common Stock | +16.4% | 0.0% | -63.7% |
| GLW | Corning Incorporated Common Stock | +15.7% | 0.0% | -99.0% |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation - Common Stock | +12.0% | 0.0% | -83.7% |
| AMAT | Applied Materials, Inc. - Common Stock | +10.8% | 0.0% | -85.2% |
| PANW | Palo Alto Networks, Inc. - Common Stock | +9.1% | 0.0% | -48.0% |
Strongest recovery momentum
| Ticker | Name | vs prior close | From peak | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCEL | FuelCell Energy, Inc. - Common Stock | +24.2% | -100.0% | -100.0% |
| ASTS | AST SpaceMobile, Inc. - Class A Common Stock | +21.4% | -34.8% | -91.1% |
| ALAB | Astera Labs, Inc. - Common Stock | +16.4% | 0.0% | -63.7% |
| RKLB | Rocket Lab Corporation - Common Stock | +15.9% | -34.8% | -83.0% |
| GLW | Corning Incorporated Common Stock | +15.7% | 0.0% | -99.0% |
Related news context
The headlines below come from Yahoo Finance RSS for tickers already mentioned in the tables. They are context, not proof of causality for the price move.
- HON — weakness, vs prior close -50.9%, from peak -50.9%. Recent headlines: Honeywell Aerospace CEO on Separation, Defense Demand (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-30); Update: Dow Posts New High to Kick Off Holiday-Shortened Trading Week (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-30). Treat this as context to watch alongside the drawdown data, not as a single-cause explanation.
- SMCI — weakness, vs prior close -8.1%, from peak -76.3%. Recent headlines: Supermicro (SMCI) Faces Taiwan Raids In Nvidia Chip Smuggling Probe (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-30); Super Micro Plunges 8% as Taiwan Raids Its Offices in NVIDIA AI Chip Smuggling Probe (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-30). Treat this as context to watch alongside the drawdown data, not as a single-cause explanation.
- CPRT — weakness, vs prior close -8.0%, from peak -56.0%. Recent headlines: Stock Market Today, June 29: Nasdaq Composite Outperforms as Tech Stocks Gain on Easing Geopolitical Tensions (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-30); US Equity Markets End Higher Amid Pause in US-Iran Hostilities (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-30). Treat this as context to watch alongside the drawdown data, not as a single-cause explanation.
- AMC — weakness, vs prior close -6.0%, from peak -99.7%. Recent headlines: AMC Global Media (AMCX) Soars 6.7%: Is Further Upside Left in the Stock? (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-29); AMC makes bold call that sends its stock crashing (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-28). Treat this as context to watch alongside the drawdown data, not as a single-cause explanation.
- ULTA — weakness, vs prior close -6.0%, from peak -35.0%. Recent headlines: Saks Global exits Chapter 11 as Exemplar Luxury Group (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-29); Saks Global Renames Itself Exemplar Luxury Group After Exit From Bankruptcy (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-27). Treat this as context to watch alongside the drawdown data, not as a single-cause explanation.
- ALAB — resilience, vs prior close +16.4%, from peak 0.0%. Recent headlines: What Astera Labs (ALAB)’s NASDAQ-100 Debut and Russell Exit Means For Shareholders (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-30); Update: Communication Services Helps Boost US Equity Indexes; Crude Oil Advances Amid Mixed Messaging on Iran Meeting (Yahoo Finance, 2026-06-30). Treat this as context to watch alongside the drawdown data, not as a single-cause explanation.
What to watch next
The useful split is between names such as HON, SMCI and CPRT with the weakest vs prior close moves and names such as ALAB, GLW and KLAC that stayed close to their highs. Next, watch whether the weak group remains underwater and whether the resilient group holds up after the move.
정보 제공용, 투자 자문 아님 / informational only, not investment advice. 레버리지·인버스·변동성 ETF는 주간 경계 리포트 계산에서 제외 / leveraged, inverse and volatility products excluded.