2026-07-20
2026-07-20 주간 초반 리스크 리포트
이번 글은 MarketPulse처럼 당일 급락·회복 TOP10을 반복하지 않고, 주간 첫 거래일 마감 후 전주 종가 대비 위험 변화만 봅니다. 집계 대상은 FinScope USD 기준 814개 중 기준일이 2026-07-20로 맞는 813개입니다. 기준일이 다른 1개는 같은 기준 비교에서 제외했습니다.
주간 첫 거래일은 방향을 단정하는 날이 아니라, 어느 쪽 위험이 먼저 드러났는지 보는 날입니다. 비교 기준은 직전 관측 거래일 2026-07-17이고, 이번 주 관측 거래일은 2026-07-20 ~ 2026-07-20입니다.
전주 종가 대비 낙폭이 커진 종목
| 티커 | 종목명 | 전주 종가 대비 | 전고점 대비 하락률 | 역대 최대낙폭 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVNA | Carvana Co. Class A Common Stock | -4.8% | -33.0% | -99.0% |
| ARKG | ARK Genomic Revolution ETF | -4.0% | -65.7% | -83.6% |
| ORCL | Oracle Corporation Common Stock | -4.0% | -62.6% | -84.2% |
| KKR | KKR & Co. Inc. Common Stock | -3.9% | -41.4% | -53.1% |
| UPS | United Parcel Service, Inc. Common Stock | -3.9% | -39.5% | -57.9% |
고점권을 지킨 종목
| 티커 | 종목명 | 전주 종가 대비 | 전고점 대비 하락률 | 역대 최대낙폭 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VLO | Valero Energy Corporation Common Stock | +1.2% | 0.0% | -87.1% |
| PSX | Phillips 66 Common Stock | +0.9% | 0.0% | -64.2% |
| MPC | Marathon Petroleum Corporation Common Stock | +0.9% | 0.0% | -79.7% |
| WELL | Welltower Inc. Common Stock | +0.7% | 0.0% | -63.3% |
| MO | Altria Group, Inc. | +0.6% | 0.0% | -65.4% |
회복 탄력이 강했던 종목
| 티커 | 종목명 | 전주 종가 대비 | 전고점 대비 하락률 | 역대 최대낙폭 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMC | AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock | +26.8% | -99.6% | -99.8% |
| ACHR | Archer Aviation Inc. Class A Common Stock | +19.6% | -69.0% | -90.5% |
| CLSK | CleanSpark, Inc. - Common Stock | +10.7% | -80.2% | -98.6% |
| HUT | Hut 8 Corp. - Common Stock | +10.4% | -24.1% | -95.0% |
| MARA | MARA Holdings, Inc. - Common Stock | +9.2% | -92.5% | -99.7% |
종목 뉴스 맥락
아래 헤드라인은 이 리포트의 표에 등장한 종목을 Yahoo Finance RSS에서 다시 확인한 것입니다. 가격 움직임의 직접 원인으로 단정하지 않습니다.
- CVNA — 낙폭 확대, 전주 종가 대비 -4.8%, 전고점 대비 하락률 -33.0%. 최근 헤드라인: Carvana vs. Sonic: Which Automotive Retailer Is a Better Buy? (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-20); Netflix upgraded, Microsoft initiated: Wall Street’s top analyst calls (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-20). 뉴스는 데이터와 함께 볼 맥락이며, 다음 거래일에 같은 흐름이 이어지는지 따로 확인해야 합니다.
- ORCL — 낙폭 확대, 전주 종가 대비 -4.0%, 전고점 대비 하락률 -62.6%. 최근 헤드라인: How Long Bloom Energy Stock Sits Underwater (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-22); CleanTech Closes First Tranche of Non-Brokered Private Placement for Gross Proceeds of $433,033 (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-22). 뉴스는 데이터와 함께 볼 맥락이며, 다음 거래일에 같은 흐름이 이어지는지 따로 확인해야 합니다.
- KKR — 낙폭 확대, 전주 종가 대비 -3.9%, 전고점 대비 하락률 -41.4%. 최근 헤드라인: KKR Appoints Former Manulife CEO Roy Gori as Senior Advisor (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-22); UBS Trading Desk Says Buy Momentum Stocks as Selloff Nears End (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-21). 뉴스는 데이터와 함께 볼 맥락이며, 다음 거래일에 같은 흐름이 이어지는지 따로 확인해야 합니다.
- UPS — 낙폭 확대, 전주 종가 대비 -3.9%, 전고점 대비 하락률 -39.5%. 최근 헤드라인: UPS Gears Up to Report Q2 Earnings: What’s in Store for the Stock? (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-21); United Parcel Service (UPS) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy? (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-21). 뉴스는 데이터와 함께 볼 맥락이며, 다음 거래일에 같은 흐름이 이어지는지 따로 확인해야 합니다.
- VLO — 고점권 유지, 전주 종가 대비 +1.2%, 전고점 대비 하락률 0.0%. 최근 헤드라인: VIST Q2 Earnings Miss Estimates, Revenues Rise Y/Y on Production Growth (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-22); The West Is Losing Refineries Faster Than It Can Replace Them, and One Nasdaq Company Has the Only One in Nevada (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-21). 뉴스는 데이터와 함께 볼 맥락이며, 다음 거래일에 같은 흐름이 이어지는지 따로 확인해야 합니다.
- PSX — 고점권 유지, 전주 종가 대비 +0.9%, 전고점 대비 하락률 0.0%. 최근 헤드라인: How Time, Not a Trade, Could Re-Rate Chevron Stock (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-21); Is Phillips 66 Positioned to Return Capital to Its Shareholders? (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-20). 뉴스는 데이터와 함께 볼 맥락이며, 다음 거래일에 같은 흐름이 이어지는지 따로 확인해야 합니다.
다음 확인 포인트
초점은 CVNA, ARKG, ORCL처럼 전주 종가 대비 하락이 큰 종목과, VLO, PSX, MPC처럼 고점권을 버틴 종목을 나눠 보는 데 있습니다. 다음 거래일에는 하락 종목이 현재 낙폭 랭킹에도 남는지, 고점권 종목이 차익실현을 견디는지를 확인하는 편이 좋습니다.
Week-Open Risk Report — 2026-07-20
This report does not repeat the daily MarketPulse recovery/drop TOP10 lists. It focuses only on risk changes after the first trading session of the week. The same-date universe is 813 instruments out of 814; 1 stale-date instruments are excluded from like-for-like comparisons.
The first trading session is not enough to define the week. It is useful as an early risk map. The comparison baseline is the prior observed trading day, 2026-07-17; observed dates this week are 2026-07-20 ~ 2026-07-20.
Weakest names vs prior close
| Ticker | Name | vs prior close | From peak | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVNA | Carvana Co. Class A Common Stock | -4.8% | -33.0% | -99.0% |
| ARKG | ARK Genomic Revolution ETF | -4.0% | -65.7% | -83.6% |
| ORCL | Oracle Corporation Common Stock | -4.0% | -62.6% | -84.2% |
| KKR | KKR & Co. Inc. Common Stock | -3.9% | -41.4% | -53.1% |
| UPS | United Parcel Service, Inc. Common Stock | -3.9% | -39.5% | -57.9% |
Names holding the peak zone
| Ticker | Name | vs prior close | From peak | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VLO | Valero Energy Corporation Common Stock | +1.2% | 0.0% | -87.1% |
| PSX | Phillips 66 Common Stock | +0.9% | 0.0% | -64.2% |
| MPC | Marathon Petroleum Corporation Common Stock | +0.9% | 0.0% | -79.7% |
| WELL | Welltower Inc. Common Stock | +0.7% | 0.0% | -63.3% |
| MO | Altria Group, Inc. | +0.6% | 0.0% | -65.4% |
Strongest recovery momentum
| Ticker | Name | vs prior close | From peak | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMC | AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. Class A Common Stock | +26.8% | -99.6% | -99.8% |
| ACHR | Archer Aviation Inc. Class A Common Stock | +19.6% | -69.0% | -90.5% |
| CLSK | CleanSpark, Inc. - Common Stock | +10.7% | -80.2% | -98.6% |
| HUT | Hut 8 Corp. - Common Stock | +10.4% | -24.1% | -95.0% |
| MARA | MARA Holdings, Inc. - Common Stock | +9.2% | -92.5% | -99.7% |
Related news context
The headlines below come from Yahoo Finance RSS for tickers already mentioned in the tables. They are context, not proof of causality for the price move.
- CVNA — weakness, vs prior close -4.8%, from peak -33.0%. Recent headlines: Carvana vs. Sonic: Which Automotive Retailer Is a Better Buy? (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-20); Netflix upgraded, Microsoft initiated: Wall Street’s top analyst calls (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-20). Treat this as context to watch alongside the drawdown data, not as a single-cause explanation.
- ORCL — weakness, vs prior close -4.0%, from peak -62.6%. Recent headlines: How Long Bloom Energy Stock Sits Underwater (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-22); CleanTech Closes First Tranche of Non-Brokered Private Placement for Gross Proceeds of $433,033 (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-22). Treat this as context to watch alongside the drawdown data, not as a single-cause explanation.
- KKR — weakness, vs prior close -3.9%, from peak -41.4%. Recent headlines: KKR Appoints Former Manulife CEO Roy Gori as Senior Advisor (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-22); UBS Trading Desk Says Buy Momentum Stocks as Selloff Nears End (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-21). Treat this as context to watch alongside the drawdown data, not as a single-cause explanation.
- UPS — weakness, vs prior close -3.9%, from peak -39.5%. Recent headlines: UPS Gears Up to Report Q2 Earnings: What’s in Store for the Stock? (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-21); United Parcel Service (UPS) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy? (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-21). Treat this as context to watch alongside the drawdown data, not as a single-cause explanation.
- VLO — resilience, vs prior close +1.2%, from peak 0.0%. Recent headlines: VIST Q2 Earnings Miss Estimates, Revenues Rise Y/Y on Production Growth (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-22); The West Is Losing Refineries Faster Than It Can Replace Them, and One Nasdaq Company Has the Only One in Nevada (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-21). Treat this as context to watch alongside the drawdown data, not as a single-cause explanation.
- PSX — resilience, vs prior close +0.9%, from peak 0.0%. Recent headlines: How Time, Not a Trade, Could Re-Rate Chevron Stock (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-21); Is Phillips 66 Positioned to Return Capital to Its Shareholders? (Yahoo Finance, 2026-07-20). Treat this as context to watch alongside the drawdown data, not as a single-cause explanation.
What to watch next
The useful split is between names such as CVNA, ARKG and ORCL with the weakest vs prior close moves and names such as VLO, PSX and MPC that stayed close to their highs. Next, watch whether the weak group remains underwater and whether the resilient group holds up after the move.
정보 제공용, 투자 자문 아님 / informational only, not investment advice. 레버리지·인버스·변동성 ETF는 주간 경계 리포트 계산에서 제외 / leveraged, inverse and volatility products excluded.